Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.242737 16.323261 18.618222 21.340227 24.484347 28.006334 32.256912
2025-10-26 11.082324 13.692171 16.804708 20.800358 25.808481 31.897422 39.891697
2025-11-02 9.309258 12.130296 15.686603 20.518052 26.941058 35.228551 46.800843
2025-11-09 8.069711 10.980757 14.820486 20.285300 27.911944 38.249713 53.446467
2025-11-16 7.104824 10.034665 14.052867 20.006580 28.673892 40.938898 59.800935
2025-11-23 6.294892 9.188433 13.296354 19.604931 29.141776 43.168067 65.633495
2025-11-30 5.968952 8.987476 13.414986 20.449212 31.471482 48.290748 76.300313
2025-12-07 5.556573 8.605653 13.212617 20.762203 32.986836 52.282486 85.591663
2025-12-14 5.119958 8.137293 12.822358 20.722513 33.909411 55.387707 93.727059
2025-12-21 4.708300 7.665361 12.375028 20.531644 34.539847 58.039046 101.331536
2025-12-28 4.530512 7.553591 12.491109 21.272191 36.786510 63.590345 114.558303
2026-01-04 4.326085 7.376006 12.476803 21.778329 38.659169 68.650918 127.425373
2026-01-11 4.170661 7.272643 12.585599 22.521792 41.050362 74.915872 143.346786
2026-01-18 3.817091 6.790889 11.993848 21.946883 40.964379 76.621394 150.693298
2026-01-25 3.542205 6.425712 11.576143 21.648219 41.356352 79.242439 160.111814
2026-02-01 3.301891 6.102927 11.206675 21.401956 41.815283 82.018157 170.128676
2026-02-08 3.077845 5.791610 10.831567 21.107069 42.141340 84.545100 179.882400
2026-02-15 2.858087 5.470471 10.411069 20.682144 42.156921 86.427517 188.433791
2026-02-22 2.813064 5.484261 10.636276 21.575382 44.978426 94.412469 211.406436
2026-03-01 2.706235 5.366605 10.591981 21.906550 46.636042 100.071035 229.740562
2026-03-08 2.567501 5.173480 10.380265 21.864554 47.476218 104.016964 244.516829
2026-03-15 2.423312 4.958020 10.105849 21.662599 47.939456 107.157355 257.713760
2026-03-22 2.383307 4.956704 10.275700 22.446188 50.702260 115.815928 285.515948